Auto Retail Agenda: 28 May 2024
27 May 2024
- CHINESE EV ADVANCE SLOWS
- … BUT MORE NEW ENTRANTS DUE THIS SUMMER
- JOHN GROSE AND DICK LOVETT RESULTS
- RETAILERS ‘REMAIN A CORNERSTONE’
- FORD PAUSES EV CERTIFIED RETAILER PROGRAM
- US RETAILER ACCUSES MITSUBISHI OF ‘FALSE PROMISES’
- STOCKWATCH
- COMING UP: Auto Trader full year
- WHAT BUSINESS WANTS FROM THE ELECTION
- STATE PENSION ‘UNAFFORDABLE BY 2035’
Chinese EV advance slows
The Chinese advance into the European new car market has surprisingly slowed so far in 2024. Chinese OEMs’ combined penetration in the first third of 2024 is 2.9%, down from the 3.0% achieved in 2023. Chinese-brand cars made up just 116k of Western Europe’s 4m new car sales in the first four months of 2024.
MG accounted for 61% of them.
BYD in particular has had a “disappointing” start, says analyst Matthias Schmidt, with just 9970 registrations so far in 2024. The BYD Explorer No.1 ship has actually been rerouted to Brazil for its second voyage.
Geely brand Lynk & Co saw volumes collapse nearly 80% over the same period last year, with just 2450 registrations. Fellow Geely brand Polestar’s volumes fell 34%.
“The European Union will present the results of its anti-subsidy investigation into the imports of battery electric vehicles (BEV) from China, within the next weeks,” said Schmidt, “which is unlikely to make things easier.”
… But more new entrants due this summer
Jaecoo, Omoda, Skywell and Yangwang are all targeting British drivers, launching this summer. The new entrants aim to provide more affordable electric alternatives to today’s models from legacy brands – which are between a quarter and a half more expensive than petrol equivalents.
Chery, which owns Omoda, has already secured a distribution deal with Arnold Clark. Seres and XPeng have also struck deals with distribution networks.
The Auto Retail Network New Entrants Report details the most significant brands and their aspirations for the UK and Europe.
John Grose and Dick Lovett results
John Grose Group has reported a profit before tax of £6.3m for the year ended December 2023, down from the previous year’s £8.3m. Turnover increased from £187.8m to £199.8m. The directors said auto retail had benefitted from steady growth and consumer demand despite continued inflationary pressures on new vehicle prices and persistent supply chain issues.
Dick Lovett reported profit before tax of £1.9m in the same period, down from £2.9m in the previous year. Turnover fell from £98m to £89m.
“Trading was not without its difficulties with the supply of new cars still unpredictable and increasing interest rates also having an impact on finance rates of new and used vehicles.” Resource had also been a challenge but the business has “invested significantly in training”.
Retailers ‘remain a cornerstone’
With increasingly complex functions in customer interaction, aftersales, used car management plus ever-more advanced vehicles, retailers remain a cornerstone, reports the latest Cox Automotive Insight Quarterly.
“The question is not whether dealers are necessary, but how they can adapt to the ongoing agency model debate and continually prove their value to manufacturers,” said IQ director Philip Nothard.
“The physical and interactive aspects of dealerships persist as indefensible, a testament to their enduring relevance despite the industry’s twists and turns.”
Nothard says that retailers must continually show OEMs they are “worth their salt and here to stay. That physical interactive element will always be with us – and will no doubt serve as proof of their importance, no matter the industry developments we are likely to see”.
WORLD NEWS
Ford pauses EV certified retailer program
Ford is now telling US retailers to pause the implementation of its controversial electric vehicle certification programme as it works on changes that will be revealed to the dealer council in early June. “There’s a lot that we’ll be reviewing,” said president of Ford Blue Andrew Frick.
The “rapidly changing EV market” has already been discussed in 11 meetings with around 1000 retailers across six cities. Ford expects to lose up to $5.5bn (£4.3bn) on its EV business unit this year.
US retailer accuses Mitsubishi of ‘false promises’
Oakes Auto, a terminated Mitsubishi retailer in Kansas City, has accused the OEM of “mistreating its dealers by making false promises” in a multimillion dollar lawsuit. It says Mitsubishi reneged on a deal to provide more vehicles in return for the retailer upgrading its advertising displays. It also accuses Mitsubishi of sabotaging a negotiated sale of the business to a proposed purchaser.
Mitsubishi declined to comment.
STOCKWATCH
Closing prices on 24 May 2024 and weekly change
Auto Trader Group 747.8p (+17.8p / +2.4%)
Caffyns 500.0p (n/c)
Halfords 154.0p (+7.2p / +4.7%)
Inchcape 822.5p (+14.5p / +1.7%)
Motorpoint 143.0p (+1.0p / +0.7%)
Pinewood 342.0p (+17.0p / +5.0%)
Vertu 78.7p (-0.5p / -0.6%)
COMING UP
Wednesday, BRC shop price index
Thursday, Auto Trader full year
Thursday, Nationwide house price index
Friday, UK consumer credit
MONEY MATTERS
What business wants from the election
Matthew Beesley of FTSE 250 fund manager Jupiter says the election presents a fresh opportunity to invest in Britain after Brexit. “We now have a chance to create a fresh slate and have a government with a mandate which shows in their policies they are pro-business and keen to attract capital”.
State pension ‘unaffordable by 2035’
The state pension could become unaffordable by 2035 if Labour and the Conservatives protect the ‘triple lock’. The Adam Smith Institute calculates this is when the cost of paying the benefit will outstrip National Insurance Contributions as the ratio of workers to pensioners shrinks. Action is necessary to cut the size and scope of the benefit, says the think tank.